Although I am very happy to win the lottery, I am also a little worried. The last time I had won a lottery, my pocket was picked the next morning. Which logical fallacy is committed in the above argument?
APost hoc ✓ Correct
BHasty generalisation
CRed herring
DFalse alternative
Correct answer: (A) Post hoc
Explanation
The worry rests on treating an earlier lottery win as the cause of the later pickpocketing.
The two events were merely in sequence: a win, then a theft the next morning.
Mere temporal succession is taken as a causal connection.
Expecting the same theft after this win repeats that unwarranted causal leap.
Inferring cause from after-this-therefore-because-of-this is the post hoc fallacy.
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