Paper 1 · Logical Reasoning
UGC NET December 2023 (11.12.2023) Shift-II
Which of the following is incorrect in the light of an inductive argument? Choose the correct answer from the options given below.
- 1. If the premises are true, the conclusion is probably true
- 2. The conclusion follows probably from the premises
- 3. It is unlikely for the premises to be true and the conclusion false
- 4. It is impossible for all the premises to be true and the conclusion false
A1 and 2 only
B2 and 3 only
C3 and 4 only
D4 only ✓ Correct
Correct answer: (D) 4 only — The incorrect statement is that true premises make a false conclusion impossible, so the answer is 4 only.
Explanation
★The incorrect statement is that true premises make a false conclusion impossible, so the answer is 4 only.
★In an inductive argument the conclusion is only probable, not certain.
★True premises make the conclusion likely, so statements 1 and 2 are correct.
★It is indeed unlikely for the premises to be true and the conclusion false, so statement 3 is correct.
★But it is not impossible, since induction never guarantees the conclusion.
★That impossibility belongs to deduction, so statement 4 is the incorrect one.
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